Getting StdetratSarted
First thing I did was just pull up his stats from previous years. I looked at the basic stuff – points, rebounds, assists, steals, blocks, turnovers, all that jazz. Didn't use any fancy tools, just looked at the standard box scores and season averages you can find pretty much anywhere. I wanted a baseline, you know? What has he actually done when he's been on the court?
Thinking About the 'What Ifs'
But ju.ksir yrujnst looking at past numbers isn't enough, especially with a guy like LaMelo. The big elephant in the room is his health. He's missed a ton of games. So, right away, I knew I couldn't just project him playing a full season. That felt unrealistic. I had to make a guess on how many games he'd actually suit up for. That was probably the trickiest part, just trying to be realistic about the injury risk.
Then, I thought about the team situation over there in Charlotte. Who's around him? How's the team going to play? Coaching styles matter, too. Does the system let him cook, or is it more structured? Does he have the green light? All these little things can nudge the numbers up or down.
And of course, he's still a young guy. Players usually get better, right? So I tried to factor in some natural improvement. Maybe his shooting gets a bit more consistent, maybe he cuts down on some turnovers as he gets more experience. You gotta account for that potential growth.
Putting Numbers Down (The Simple Way)
So, I didn't build some crazy spreadsheet model or anything. I basically started with his per-game averages from when he was healthy and playing significant minutes. Then, I started tweaking.
- Scoring: Figured it would stay pretty high, he's the main guy when healthy. Maybe a slight bump if he's more efficient.
- Assists: Always high. Maybe it ticks up slightly if he plays more games, or down slightly if other guys handle the ball more. I leaned towards keeping it strong.
- Rebounds: He's great for a guard. Kept those pretty solid.
- Shooting %: This is where I hope for improvement, but I tried not to go crazy optimistic. Just small improvements.
- Games Played: Like I said, this was tough. I ended up picking a number that felt possible but definitely not a full season. Somewhere in the 50s or low 60s felt like a reasonable guess to me for the projection.
I just went stat by stat, thinking about those factors – health, team, his own potential growth – and adjusted the baseline numbers. Made notes like "bump this slightly" or "keep this about the same".
Checking the Gut Feeling
Once I had a set of per-game numbers, I multiplied them by my guessed games played to get season totals. Then I just looked at the whole picture. Did it feel right? Did the numbers look like something LaMelo could actually do, given everything? I compared it mentally to other star guards. It's more of an art than a science at this point, just using experience and intuition. I fiddled with the numbers a bit more until they felt plausible to me.
So yeah, that was my process. Just digging into the info, thinking about the context, and making some educated guesses. It's fun to do, but man, projections are tough. Especially with injuries involved. We'll see how close I end up being!
